Countries Release Oil Reserves to Curb Oil Prices, Oil Prices Hit a Record Low in 7 Weeks

2021-11-22 17:44:19


摘要

Oil prices plummeted last Friday. U.S. oil once fell more than 4%, hitting a new low of US$75.09 per barrel since October 7; Burundi oil fell below US$80 per barrel. The surge in the number of new crown cases in Europe may slow down the economic recovery. At the same time, investors also We are weighing the possibility that major economies will release crude oil reserves to cool oil prices. On the last day as a near-month contract, the December US crude oil futures contract fell US$2.91, or 3.6%, to US$76.10 per barrel. Crude oil, the two major indicators, both fell for the fourth consecutive week this week, marking the first time since March 2020.

Futures senior analyst Phil Flynn said that fear of unknown factors is weighing on market sentiment. Price is concerned that he will see some form of coordinated release of oil reserves during the Thanksgiving holiday next week, when trading volumes are usually low, so Big market will appear. However, Goldman Sachs analysts Damien Courvalin and Callum Bruce wrote in the report that due to thin trading, the decline in crude oil prices on Friday "exceeded actual fundamental risks." Reiterate the forecast of the average price of US$85/barrel in the fourth quarter. High-frequency inventory data shows that the supply-demand imbalance in the past four weeks is about 2 million barrels per day. Such a serious supply gap is actually enough to absorb the current resistance of the bullish argument for oil prices, and the drop in oil prices actually reduces the possibility of releasing strategic oil reserves. sex.


This week (the week of November 22-November 29), both the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank will release meeting minutes; in addition, after the United States urged countries to release oil reserves to curb the rise in oil prices last week, Japan revealed over the weekend that it was considering releasing oil. Reserves, next will focus on the statements of other countries and the specific actions of the United States. This will be the main fundamental factor affecting oil prices this week.


①On Monday, the initial value of the consumer confidence index in the Eurozone in November, the annualized total number of existing home sales in the United States in October, the European Central Bank Management Committee Holtzman, Kazimir and Kasachs delivered speeches.


②On Tuesday, the initial value of the Markit manufacturing PMI in November in the Eurozone, the initial value of the Markit manufacturing PMI in November in the United States, the initial value of the Markit manufacturing PMI in November in the United Kingdom, and Haskell, a member of the Bank of England, delivered speeches on the issue of high inflation.


③On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve Bank of New Zealand announced the interest rate resolution, the German November IFO business climate index, the initial monthly rate of durable goods orders in the United States, the number of people claiming unemployment benefits for the week as of November 20, and the actual annualized GDP of the United States in the third quarter. Modified quarterly rate, EIA data.


④On Thursday, New Zealand’s October trade account, Germany’s final quarterly GDP rate in the third quarter, Germany’s December Gfk consumer confidence index, the Federal Reserve’s FOMC announced the monetary policy meeting minutes, the European Central Bank announced the monetary policy meeting minutes, and the Bank of Korea announced interest rates resolution.


⑤On Friday, Japan’s November Tokyo CPI annual rate, Switzerland’s third quarter GDP annual rate, and Bank of England Governor Bailey delivered speeches.


⑥On Saturday, the annual profit rate of China's industrial enterprises above designated size in October.


Risk Warning: The above content is for reference only, and does not represent JRFX’s position. JRFX does not assume any form of loss caused by any trading carried out in accordance with this article. Please consult your financial planner for your investment portfolios and manage your own risk.


JRFX is an online CFD broker providing more than 50 products for Forexmetals and commodities. Open a trading account within a minute. Deposit 100USD and download our MT4 trading platform now!


Online Service Create Account MyJRFX Download
Online Service